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Stocks to watch if Trump agrees $1trn infrastructure plan

Mohit Oberoi
Author: Mohit Oberoi

Last Updated: June 18, 2020

Trump administration is dusting off proposals for nearly $1trn infrastructure spending to spur the world’s largest economy back to life as it bids to put the coronavirus pandemic behind it, according to reports earlier this week.

The plans are being drawn up by the Department of Transportation and would see most of the money earmarked for traditional infrastructure work, such as roads and bridges, but would also set aside funds for 5G wireless infrastructure and rural broadband.

US President Donal Trump he is understood to be prepared to try again to help kick-start the US economy ahead of November presidential elections. He currently trails Democrat rival Joe Biden on most national polls.

There is no official announcement on the plans so far. However, Federated Hermes strategist Steve Chiavarone told CNBC that “at some point, infrastructure has to get done.” He added, “It just makes too much sense.” However, he is apprehensive if the plan would come into action before the November presidential elections.

Hermes’ Chiavarone cited low energy costs, an educated workforce, low taxes, and an impetus to bring back manufacturing back to the US. He added: “For those reasons, we think that an infrastructure plan makes all the sense because it makes the United States an even more attractive place to invest, and we expect that policymakers are going to push in that direction”

Chiavarone is bullish on “domestically focused industrials” that have a high revenue share in US markets.

Three stocks to watch if $1trn infrastructure bill passed

Ascent Wealth Partners managing director Todd Gordo sees construction machine-maker Deere & Co and generator-maker Cummins as a play on possible infrastructure stimulus. On Tuesday, stocks that would benefit from the proposed infrastructure stimulus gained. U.S. Concrete gained 22.5% while Deere & Co and Cummins gained 21% and 1%.

However, US Concrete, Deere & Co, and Cummins have fallen 38%, 9.8%, and 2.7% this year respectively.

US steel stocks also gained sharply on Tuesday. Higher infrastructure spending would boost demand for metals like steel and aluminum.

Gordon told CNBC, Cummins is “a secondary play on the infrastructure bill.” He added, “They’ve grown market share. They have a strong balance sheet, very little debt. It’s a progressive company, to speak to the current times. They’ve got a good reputation as a good social corporate actor.”

Gordon is bullish on Deere & Co given its status as an essential service. Deere & Co makes heavy-duty machinery and industrial equipment and has exposure to the agriculture sector.

Trump has called for more infrastructure spending since his 2016 Republican presidential campaign, but has never been able to get his proposals past Democrats.

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Mohit Oberoi

Mohit Oberoi is a freelance finance writer based in India. he has completed his MBA with finance as majors and also holds a CFA charter. He has over 13 years of experience in financial markets. He has been writing extensively on global markets for the last six years and has written over 6,500 articles. He mainly covers metals, electric vehicles, asset managers, and other macroeconomic news. He also loves writing on personal finance and topics related to valuation.