Virus spike will lead to 10% correction, warns strategist

phil orlando on us stock

Phil Orlando, chief equity strategist for Federated Hermes, tells investors to brace for a potential 10% market pullback over the next few weeks, citing several factors that are weighing on stock prices.

Orlando (pictured) came into the year as one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, but he has now changed his outlook based on the risks looming for US stocks, including a spike in coronavirus cases in various states, President Trump’s drop in polls, and the upcoming earnings season.

“The reality is we could pull back another 10% here over the next six weeks or so”, Orlando told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Thursday.

He added: “You want to be a little cautious here because the market could experience a continuation of this June swoon over the course of the next few weeks”.

Stock markets saw a red day yesterday, with major indexes in the US and across the world shedding hundreds of points amid a surge in coronavirus cases in the North American country.

The S&P 500 closed the session at 3,050, down 2.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrials shed 700 points to close the day at 25,445, down 2.7% from the previous session. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 saw milder losses, closing slightly above the 10,000 threshold, while losing 2% at the closing bell.

us stocks indexes June 24

This is the second time Orlando warns investors about a potential upcoming pullback in stock prices, after sharing a bearish outlook on late May when he pointed to a high probability of a “cleansing correction”.

His biggest worry at the moment is the surge in coronavirus cases across the country, qualifying the situation as “disconcerting”.

“Right now, we’ve got a lot of questions with not a lot of answers”, said Orlando about a treatment for the virus.

His advice to play out the situation was to stay diversified and avoid doing anything drastic as volatility and turmoil continues to influence the pace of the markets.

S&P500 and Dow index futures are pointing lower this morning, with the e-Mini S&P index shedding 26.75 points and losing 0.87%, while the DJIA is down 1.06%, trading at around 26,129.

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    Alejandro Arrieche

    Alejandro is a financial writer with 7 years of experience in financial management and financial analysis. He writes technical content about economics, finance, investments, and real estate and have also assisted financial businesses in building their digital marketing strategy. His favorite topics are value investing and financial analysis.


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