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Shopify stock doubles during lockdown, analysts say online retailer needs to maintain momentum

Siraj Sarwar

Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) stock has more than doubled in two months making the online shopping platform one of the biggest gainers of the coronavirus pandemic. This sentiment has been bolstered further by a surprise adjusted profit for the first quarter along with news that shows gross merchandise volume grew sharply in April compared to the first quarter.

“We are seeing US Black Friday-type of traffic as the company has added thousands of businesses to its platform amid social distancing policies,” said chief technology officer Jean-Michel Lemieux said.

Shopify stock

The shares of Canada based e-commerce company rose more than 100% from March lows to the highest level of $740 last week before retreating to $708, on the announcement of class A subordinate voting shares priced at $700 per share.

The company expects to generate $1.295bn in gross proceeds from the offering to strengthen its balance sheet and support investment.

Its first-quarter revenue grew 47% year over year to $470m – beating analysts’ expectations by $27m amid 46% gross merchandise volume growth to $17.4bn, with expectations of more acceleration in the second quarter as the number of new shoppers rose 8%  in April from the March quarter.

“While the COVID-19 pandemic has subdued commerce globally and especially strained small and medium-sized businesses, it has accelerated the shift of purchase habits to e-commerce,” Shopify said in an earnings release last week.

Along with strong growth in revenues, its first-quarter adjusted gross profit jumped 44% to $263.8m, and adjusted net income came in at $22.3m compared to $7.1m in the year-ago period.

Robert W. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian said he was confident about the strong product and engineering capabilities of the Ottawa-based e-commerce platform,  but the analyst believes Shopify stock trading momentum will now depend on the sustainability of the recent sales growth.

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Siraj Sarwar

Siraj Sarwar

Based in Saudi Arabia, Siraj has a strong understanding of and passion for accounting and finance. He has worked for international clients for many years on several projects related to the stock market, equity research and other business, accounting and finance related projects. Siraj is a published financial analyst on the world's leading websites including SeekingAlpha, TheStreet, MSN, and others.